{"id":3682,"date":"2022-06-14T09:37:07","date_gmt":"2022-06-14T12:37:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/?p=3682"},"modified":"2022-06-14T09:37:09","modified_gmt":"2022-06-14T12:37:09","slug":"propagation-and-space-weather-11","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/2022\/06\/14\/propagation-and-space-weather-11\/","title":{"rendered":"Propagation and Space Weather&#8230;."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>SFI = 132 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A index = 13 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>K index = 2 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SSN = 96<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>CHANCE OF STORMS THIS WEEK:&nbsp;<\/strong>A CME launched by yesterday&#8217;s slow-motion solar flare (described below) is expected to pass near Earth on&nbsp;<strong>June 15th<\/strong>. Geomagnetic storms are possible if the CME makes contact. NOAA forecasters say minor&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/spaceweather.com\/glossary\/g1.jpg\">G1<\/a>-class storms are likely, with a chance for&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/spaceweather.com\/glossary\/g2.jpg\">G2<\/a>&nbsp;(moderate) and a slight chance of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/spaceweather.com\/glossary\/g3.jpg\">G3<\/a>&nbsp;(strong) storms.&nbsp;<strong>Aurora alerts:<\/strong>&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/spaceweatheralerts.com\/\">SMS Text<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>LONG-DURATION SOLAR FLARE AND CME:\u00a0<\/strong>Growing sunspot AR3032 exploded on June 13th (0407 UT), producing an\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/spaceweather.com\/glossary\/flareclasses.html\">M3-class<\/a>\u00a0solar flare that lasted\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/spaceweather.com\/images2022\/13jun22\/lde.jpg\">nearly 8 hours<\/a>\u00a0from beginning to end. NASA&#8217;s Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the slow-motion blast:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/spaceweather.com\/images2022\/13jun22\/mflare_strip_opt.gif\" alt=\"\" \/><figcaption>NASA&#8217;s Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the slow-motion blast<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/spaceweather.com\/images2022\/13jun22\/cme_c3.gif\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>NOAA analysts have determined that the CME will pass near Earth later this week, possibly delivering a glancing blow to our planet&#8217;s magnetosphere.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.swpc.noaa.gov\/products\/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction\">Their simulation<\/a>\u00a0suggests an arrival time of 0900 UT on June 15th. Minor\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/spaceweather.com\/glossary\/g1.jpg\">G1-class<\/a>\u00a0geomagnetic storms are likely if and when the CME makes contact<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NOAA STI<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>:Product: Geophysical Alert Message wwv.txt<br>:Issued: 2022 Jun 14 0905 UTC<br># Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center<br>#<br># Geophysical Alert Message<br>#<br>Solar-terrestrial indices for 13 June follow.<br>Solar flux 132 and estimated planetary A-index 13.<br>The estimated planetary K-index at 0900 UTC on 14 June was 2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NOAA Alerts<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Space Weather Message Code: WATA20<br>Serial Number: 914<br>Issue Time: 2022 Jun 13 1938 UTC<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:<br>Jun 14: None (Below G1) Jun 15: G1 (Minor) Jun 16: None (Below G1)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>THIS SUPERSEDES ANY\/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at<br>www.swpc.noaa.gov\/noaa-scales-explanation<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.<br>Induced Currents &#8211; Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.<br>Spacecraft &#8211; Minor impact on satellite operations possible.<br>Aurora &#8211; Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SFI = 132 A index = 13 K index = 2 SSN = 96 CHANCE OF STORMS THIS WEEK:&nbsp;A CME launched by yesterday&#8217;s slow-motion solar flare (described below) is expected to pass near Earth on&nbsp;June 15th. Geomagnetic storms are possible <a href=\"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/2022\/06\/14\/propagation-and-space-weather-11\/\" class=\"read-more\">Read more\u2026 <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-archive"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3682","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3682"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3682\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3683,"href":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3682\/revisions\/3683"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.summersidearc.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}